In the last one or two months, military relations between Russia and China have been developing.
Frequent joint training between China and Russia
First of all, what surprised Japan was that 10 warships from China and Russia passed through the Tsugaru Straits and the Pacific Ocean from the exercises (including communication and mine handling training) in the Sea of Japan in early October to October 23. .. It can be said that it is clearly a threat to Japan.
Regarding this matter, former Joint Chief of Staff Kono said, "It is very unpleasant and uneasy for Japan." "China must be cautious about its own military actions." I have never traveled because I have taken into consideration the position of the Chinese mainland on the Taiwan issue.
On November 19, it was announced that the China-Russia Air Force had jointly conducted a patrol. According to the Ministry of Defense of China, two Chinese bombers and two Russian aircraft formed a formation and conducted a joint patrol in the airspace of the Sea of Japan and the East China Sea. This is the third patrol of the Ryogoku Air Force. It clearly improves the ability of cooperation and joint operations.
Russia invades Ukraine
According to satellite images from October to November in Russia, several elite regiments normally deployed around Moscow have joined, and currently 100,000 people and 100 tactical battalions are deployed.
U.S. officials have pointed out that operations could begin in a week or two, depending on the weather, without Western intervention. The Ukrainian military intelligence officer also explained that the operation could be started from January to February at the earliest. Details
On November 26, Ukrainian President Zelensky said at a press conference that a group of Ukrainians and Russians was planning to run a coup next week.
He reportedly received intelligence on December 1st or 2nd indicating that a coup was planned. According to Zelensky, there are voices of Ukrainians and Russians discussing coup plans. The voice also mentions the name of one of Ukraine's richest men, Rinat Akhmetov. Mr. Ahmetov dismissed Mr. Zelensky's remark as "a total lie." "I'm angry at the spread of these lies," he said in a statement from SCM to CNN.
Meanwhile, Russian spokesman Peskov said at a press conference on the 26th, "Russia has nothing to do with that sort of thing."
In recent years, the Internet, calls, and emails have been constantly monitored and recorded, so this information seems to be highly accurate. The Russian government's remarks are not credible because there are many "lie" as in China. CNN: President of Ukraine says "Russians and Ukrainians are planning a coup"
In this situation, it is suggested that the US President may hold telephone talks with the leaders of Russia and Ukraine. (Around November 23, US Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley communicated concerns about the invasion of Ukraine to the General Staff of the Russian Army.) President Byden expressed concern to reporters about the Ukrainian coup d'etat information, "We are conserving Ukraine's territory. Supports the power of governance. "
On the other hand, Russia denies that it has no plans to invade the military. Biden works to ease tensions in Ukraine
China prepares to invade Taiwan
A spokesman for the Eastern Theater Command, who is believed to actually invade Taiwan, said on November 26 that he had conducted a "sustainable combat preparation alert patrol" in the direction of the Taiwan Strait on the same day. This may include countermeasures against the US bipartisan delegation's visit to Taiwan.
The Eastern Theater Command also announced that it had conducted a "battle preparation patrol" in the direction of the Taiwan Strait when the US legislators visited Taiwan on November 9.
And, according to the Global Times of the Chinese Communist Party's agency, if the US and Taiwan deepen their unity, there is a possibility that "the remote island of Taiwan will be released to the (China) continent". , Penghu, seems to have suggested the occupation of Tosha.
Concerns about simultaneous invasion of China and Russia
Based on the above, it seems that China and Russia have a certain degree of cooperation in actual operation as well as in training. In both Russia's Ukraine and China's Taiwan, the US military is in the background. At present, it seems that Russia has an invasion intention as far as the information on the gathering of 100,000 troops, the preparation for the invasion, and the coup d'etat is seen. If Russia invades, the US investment in resources in Taiwan will have to be small. For China, this is a chance for a thousand times. It may be a point of view, but I think the movements of Russia and China are at least linked. Keep an eye on future trends.
